Predicted scoreToss-up
Syracuse
26.3
UNLV
30.0
UNLV win probability: 59%
Margin (UNLV − Syracuse): 3.7 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 32 to 82)
Actual: Syracuse 44 – UNLV 41 (margin error 6.7, total error 28.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.