2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 3:30 AM · Allegiant Stadium
San Diego State @ UNLV
Predicted scoreConfident
San Diego State
15.5
UNLV
31.8
UNLV win probability: 85%
Margin (UNLV − San Diego State): 16.3 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 47.3 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: San Diego State 20 – UNLV 41 (margin error 4.7, total error 13.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 28 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.87% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.