2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 2:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

UNLV @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

UNLV

34.0

Hawai'i

20.4

Hawai'i win probability: 20%

Margin (Hawai'i − UNLV): -13.6 (80% range -35 to 7)

Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: UNLV 29 – Hawai'i 27 (margin error 11.6, total error 1.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.