2024 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2024, 2:00 AM · Reser Stadium
UNLV @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreToss-up
UNLV
27.5
Oregon State
26.4
Oregon State win probability: 47%
Margin (Oregon State − UNLV): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UNLV 33 – Oregon State 25 (margin error 6.9, total error 4.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.