2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 3:00 AM · CEFCU Stadium
UNLV @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
UNLV
29.0
San José State
22.5
San José State win probability: 34%
Margin (San José State − UNLV): -6.5 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: UNLV 27 – San José State 16 (margin error 4.5, total error 8.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.