2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 2:30 AM · Allegiant Stadium
Boise State @ UNLV
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boise State
26.9
UNLV
28.5
UNLV win probability: 54%
Margin (UNLV − Boise State): 1.7 (80% range -19 to 22)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Boise State 29 – UNLV 24 (margin error 6.7, total error 2.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.