UNLV
Mountain West
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Sam Houston | 21–38 | 20.1–27.5 | 9.6 |
| Week 2 | vs UCLA | 23–30 | 28.3–26.6 | 8.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Miami (OH) | 38–41 | 24.6–27.4 | 0.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Wyoming | 17–31 | 24.0–29.9 | 8.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Air Force | 48–51 | 23.7–37.4 | 10.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Boise State | 56–31 | 29.4–26.5 | 22.1 |
| Week 10 | vs New Mexico | 40–35 | 29.3–33.0 | 8.6 |
| Week 11 | @ Colorado State | 10–42 | 28.8–30.8 | 29.9 |
| Week 12 | vs Utah State | 26–29 | 28.8–32.8 | 1.0 |
| Week 13 | vs Hawai'i | 10–38 | 24.4–32.2 | 20.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Nevada | 17–42 | 23.4–31.5 | 16.9 |
| Week 15 | @ Boise State | 38–21 | 29.5–26.2 | 13.7 |
| Week 1 | @ Ohio | 17–10 | 24.4–25.5 | 8.1 |