Predicted scoreLikely
Air Force
23.7
UNLV
37.4
UNLV win probability: 80%
Margin (UNLV − Air Force): 13.7 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 61.2 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: Air Force 48 – UNLV 51 (margin error 10.7, total error 37.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 35 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.