Predicted scoreLean
UNLV
29.9
Wyoming
24.0
Wyoming win probability: 35%
Margin (Wyoming − UNLV): -5.9 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UNLV 31 – Wyoming 17 (margin error 8.1, total error 5.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 28 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.