UNLV

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Northern Illinois	17.2–33.9	86%
Week 10	vs Wyoming	19.2–31.2	78%
Week 11	@ New Mexico	31.4–20.4	24%
Week 12	@ San José State	21.8–27.6	65%
Week 13	vs Nevada	21.6–30.3	71%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Memphis	27–21	28.6–29.6	7.0
Week 1	@ Hawai'i	6–21	27.6–27.5	15.0
Week 2	@ North Texas	44–6	33.1–27.1	32.0
Week 4	@ Akron	10–38	20.3–33.1	15.2
Week 5	vs California	31–39	23.1–28.5	2.6
Week 6	vs North Dakota State	7–13	21.6–24.2	3.3
Week 7	@ Air Force	41–31	26.5–26.5	10.0