2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 1:00 AM · Maverik Stadium
UNLV @ Utah State
Predicted scoreLikely
UNLV
33.9
Utah State
21.9
Utah State win probability: 23%
Margin (Utah State − UNLV): -12.0 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: UNLV 50 – Utah State 34 (margin error 4.0, total error 28.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.