2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM · Husky Stadium
Boise State @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
Boise State
22.1
Washington
31.5
Washington win probability: 72%
Margin (Washington − Boise State): 9.5 (80% range -11 to 30)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Boise State 19 – Washington 56 (margin error 27.5, total error 21.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.