2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 9:30 PM · Albertsons Stadium
Wyoming @ Boise State
Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
25.7
Boise State
30.7
Boise State win probability: 62%
Margin (Boise State − Wyoming): 5.0 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 56.4 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Wyoming 7 – Boise State 32 (margin error 20.0, total error 17.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.