2023 Week 7 · Oct 15, 2023, 1:45 AM · Canvas Stadium
Boise State @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreLikely
Boise State
32.7
Colorado State
20.7
Colorado State win probability: 22%
Margin (Colorado State − Boise State): -12.0 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Boise State 30 – Colorado State 31 (margin error 13.0, total error 7.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.