2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 12:00 AM · Maverik Stadium
Boise State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreLean
Boise State
32.6
Utah State
27.0
Utah State win probability: 37%
Margin (Utah State − Boise State): -5.6 (80% range -27 to 15)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Boise State 45 – Utah State 10 (margin error 29.4, total error 4.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.