2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM · Gesa Field
Boise State @ Washington State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boise State
25.6
Washington State
25.9
Washington State win probability: 51%
Margin (Washington State − Boise State): 0.3 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:54 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:57 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:58 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |