2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM · Gesa Field
Boise State @ Washington State
Predicted scoreLikely
Boise State
29.9
Washington State
21.4
Washington State win probability: 30%
Margin (Washington State − Boise State): -8.5 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:54 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:57 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:58 PM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:12 AM | 0.3 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:05 PM | 0.4 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:52 PM | 0.1 | 51.4 | 50% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:07 PM | -1.8 | 49.0 | 46% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:29 PM | -4.3 | 49.0 | 39% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:27 PM | -4.3 | 49.0 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:30 AM | -4.2 | 49.0 | 39% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:04 PM | -4.2 | 49.0 | 39% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:07 PM | -6.4 | 48.3 | 34% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:57 PM | -9.9 | 48.0 | 26% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:24 PM | -8.9 | 49.6 | 29% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:08 PM | -8.5 | 51.3 | 30% |