2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 11:00 PM · Albertsons Stadium
Oregon State @ Boise State
Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon State
17.4
Boise State
33.6
Boise State win probability: 85%
Margin (Boise State − Oregon State): 16.2 (80% range -4 to 36)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:26 PM | 16.2 | 51.1 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:41 PM | 16.2 | 51.1 | 85% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:09 PM | 16.2 | 51.1 | 85% |