2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 4:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Air Force @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

Air Force

34.6

Hawai'i

22.0

Hawai'i win probability: 21%

Margin (Hawai'i − Air Force): -12.6 (80% range -32 to 7)

Total: 56.5 (80% range 34 to 80)

Actual: Air Force 13 – Hawai'i 27 (margin error 26.6, total error 16.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.