2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 6:30 PM · Sports Authority Field at Mile High (neutral site)

Army @ Air Force

Predicted scoreConfident

Army

15.3

Air Force

31.6

Air Force win probability: 86%

Margin (Air Force − Army): 16.4 (80% range -3 to 35)

Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 69)

Actual: Army 23 – Air Force 3 (margin error 36.4, total error 20.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.