Air Force
Mountain West
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs San José State | 17–7 | 21.3–30.2 | 18.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Baylor | 31–3 | 25.8–20.3 | 22.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Wyoming | 31–19 | 18.6–23.9 | 17.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Navy | 34–7 | 25.5–18.3 | 19.8 |
| Week 7 | @ New Mexico | 52–37 | 27.3–28.8 | 16.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Colorado State | 21–13 | 23.4–24.0 | 8.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Army | 20–3 | 31.8–15.7 | 0.8 |
| Week 11 | vs Fresno State | 28–36 | 24.1–19.3 | 12.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Oregon State | 0–28 | 27.7–23.6 | 32.0 |
| Week 13 | @ Nevada | 19–22 | 27.0–25.4 | 4.5 |
| Week 14 | @ San Diego State | 20–31 | 21.0–25.6 | 6.4 |