Predicted scoreLean
Air Force
20.3
Baylor
25.8
Baylor win probability: 64%
Margin (Baylor − Air Force): 5.4 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 46.1 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Air Force 3 – Baylor 31 (margin error 22.6, total error 12.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.