2024 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2024, 12:00 AM · Falcon Stadium
Colorado State @ Air Force
Predicted scoreToss-up
Colorado State
23.4
Air Force
24.0
Air Force win probability: 52%
Margin (Air Force − Colorado State): 0.6 (80% range -18 to 20)
Total: 47.4 (80% range 26 to 71)
Actual: Colorado State 21 – Air Force 13 (margin error 8.6, total error 13.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.