2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 11:00 PM · Falcon Stadium
San José State @ Air Force
Predicted scoreLikely
San José State
21.3
Air Force
30.2
Air Force win probability: 72%
Margin (Air Force − San José State): 8.9 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: San José State 17 – Air Force 7 (margin error 18.9, total error 27.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.