2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Falcon Stadium
Oregon State @ Air Force
Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon State
27.7
Air Force
23.6
Air Force win probability: 40%
Margin (Air Force − Oregon State): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 15)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Oregon State 0 – Air Force 28 (margin error 32.0, total error 23.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.