2024 Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024, 3:30 AM · Snapdragon Stadium
Air Force @ San Diego State
Predicted scoreLean
Air Force
25.6
San Diego State
21.0
San Diego State win probability: 38%
Margin (San Diego State − Air Force): -4.6 (80% range -24 to 14)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Air Force 31 – San Diego State 20 (margin error 6.4, total error 4.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 14 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.