Predicted scoreConfident
Air Force
15.7
Army
31.8
Army win probability: 86%
Margin (Army − Air Force): 16.2 (80% range -3 to 35)
Total: 47.5 (80% range 27 to 70)
Actual: Air Force 3 – Army 20 (margin error 0.8, total error 24.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 1.03% |
| 7 | 31 | 1.01% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.97% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.92% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.