Predicted scoreLean
Air Force
23.9
Wyoming
18.6
Wyoming win probability: 36%
Margin (Wyoming − Air Force): -5.2 (80% range -24 to 14)
Total: 42.5 (80% range 23 to 65)
Actual: Air Force 19 – Wyoming 31 (margin error 17.2, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.97% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.95% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.91% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.