2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 11:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)

Air Force @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreToss-up

Air Force

28.8

New Mexico

27.3

New Mexico win probability: 46%

Margin (New Mexico − Air Force): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 19)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 32 to 82)

Actual: Air Force 37 – New Mexico 52 (margin error 16.4, total error 32.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.