2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 4:00 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Air Force @ Navy

Predicted scoreLikely

Air Force

28.8

Navy

19.5

Navy win probability: 27%

Margin (Navy − Air Force): -9.4 (80% range -28 to 10)

Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Air Force 17 – Navy 6 (margin error 1.6, total error 25.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.