2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 11:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
Air Force @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreLikely
Air Force
32.1
Colorado State
18.3
Colorado State win probability: 19%
Margin (Colorado State − Air Force): -13.8 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Air Force 30 – Colorado State 13 (margin error 3.2, total error 7.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.90% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.