Predicted scoreLean
Navy
31.1
Air Force
25.7
Air Force win probability: 37%
Margin (Air Force − Navy): -5.3 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:59 PM | -5.3 | 56.8 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:15 PM | -5.3 | 56.8 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:49 PM | -5.3 | 56.8 | 37% |