Predicted scoreLean
UTEP
22.8
Air Force
29.4
Air Force win probability: 66%
Margin (Air Force − UTEP): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:41 PM | 6.6 | 52.3 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:45 PM | 6.7 | 52.3 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:19 PM | 6.6 | 52.3 | 66% |