Predicted scoreLikely
Army
31.4
Rice
19.7
Rice win probability: 22%
Margin (Rice − Army): -11.6 (80% range -31 to 7)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:08 PM | -9.8 | 45.2 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:02 PM | -9.8 | 45.2 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:12 PM | -9.8 | 45.2 | 25% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:15 AM | -9.8 | 45.2 | 25% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:13 PM | -9.8 | 45.2 | 25% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:01 PM | -10.2 | 45.3 | 25% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:46 PM | -10.9 | 44.8 | 23% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:16 PM | -12.3 | 45.7 | 20% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:49 PM | -12.3 | 45.8 | 20% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:31 PM | -11.9 | 45.6 | 21% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:48 PM | -12.0 | 45.7 | 21% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:45 PM | -11.8 | 50.5 | 22% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:36 PM | -8.2 | 51.5 | 30% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:45 PM | -6.6 | 49.7 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:14 PM | -11.6 | 51.1 | 22% |