Predicted scoreLikely
Army
30.1
Tulsa
19.8
Tulsa win probability: 25%
Margin (Tulsa − Army): -10.3 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:53 PM | -10.3 | 49.9 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:47 PM | -10.3 | 49.9 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:27 PM | -10.3 | 49.9 | 25% |