2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 PM · Michie Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ Army
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida Atlantic
18.7
Army
29.4
Army win probability: 76%
Margin (Army − Florida Atlantic): 10.7 (80% range -8 to 31)
Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:27 PM | 10.7 | 48.1 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:43 PM | 10.7 | 48.1 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:16 PM | 10.7 | 48.1 | 76% |