2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 10:00 PM · FAU Stadium
UAB @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreToss-up
UAB
26.2
Florida Atlantic
29.0
Florida Atlantic win probability: 57%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − UAB): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: UAB 33 – Florida Atlantic 53 (margin error 17.2, total error 30.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.