Predicted scoreToss-up
Memphis
30.4
UAB
27.7
UAB win probability: 44%
Margin (UAB − Memphis): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Memphis 45 – UAB 21 (margin error 21.3, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.