2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 10:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

UAB @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreLean

UAB

29.6

Georgia Southern

25.3

Georgia Southern win probability: 40%

Margin (Georgia Southern − UAB): -4.3 (80% range -24 to 16)

Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: UAB 35 – Georgia Southern 49 (margin error 18.3, total error 29.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.