Predicted scoreToss-up
Charlotte
23.1
UAB
27.0
UAB win probability: 59%
Margin (UAB − Charlotte): 3.9 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:23 PM | 3.8 | 50.1 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:21 PM | 3.9 | 50.1 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:15 PM | 3.9 | 50.1 | 59% |