2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium
UAB @ South Florida
Predicted scoreConfident
UAB
16.9
South Florida
38.6
South Florida win probability: 91%
Margin (South Florida − UAB): 21.7 (80% range 1 to 42)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:05 PM | 21.7 | 55.5 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:02 PM | 21.7 | 55.5 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:28 PM | 21.7 | 55.5 | 91% |