2026 Week 7 · Oct 15, 2026, 11:30 PM · Protective Stadium
East Carolina @ UAB
Predicted scoreLikely
East Carolina
32.7
UAB
21.7
UAB win probability: 25%
Margin (UAB − East Carolina): -11.0 (80% range -32 to 10)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:39 PM | -11.1 | 54.4 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:32 PM | -10.9 | 54.4 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:42 PM | -11.0 | 54.4 | 25% |