2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · DATCU Stadium
UAB @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLikely
UAB
22.1
North Texas
36.1
North Texas win probability: 81%
Margin (North Texas − UAB): 14.1 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:06 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:08 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:37 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:52 AM | 20.2 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:07 PM | 20.2 | 60.8 | 89% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:44 PM | 20.1 | 60.7 | 89% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:21 PM | 18.8 | 62.4 | 87% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:25 PM | 22.3 | 60.7 | 91% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:02 PM | 22.1 | 59.4 | 91% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:13 PM | 22.2 | 59.5 | 91% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:32 PM | 22.8 | 60.8 | 92% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:32 PM | 16.2 | 58.3 | 84% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:49 PM | 14.9 | 59.2 | 82% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:07 PM | 15.0 | 58.5 | 82% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:06 PM | 14.1 | 58.2 | 81% |