2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · DATCU Stadium
UAB @ North Texas
Predicted scoreConfident
UAB
20.3
North Texas
40.6
North Texas win probability: 89%
Margin (North Texas − UAB): 20.3 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 60.9 (80% range 37 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 42 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:06 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:08 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:37 PM | 20.3 | 60.9 | 89% |