Predicted scoreLikely
UTSA
32.6
UAB
21.8
UAB win probability: 25%
Margin (UAB − UTSA): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:55 PM | -10.8 | 54.5 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:45 PM | -10.8 | 54.5 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:42 PM | -10.8 | 54.5 | 25% |