Predicted scoreLean
UL Monroe
22.8
UAB
29.3
UAB win probability: 66%
Margin (UAB − UL Monroe): 6.5 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:28 PM | 6.6 | 52.1 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:28 PM | 6.5 | 52.3 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:28 PM | 6.5 | 52.1 | 66% |