2023 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2023, 11:30 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreToss-up

Florida Atlantic

25.9

Charlotte

24.2

Charlotte win probability: 46%

Margin (Charlotte − Florida Atlantic): -1.7 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 38 – Charlotte 16 (margin error 20.3, total error 3.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.