2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · Alamodome
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida Atlantic
22.4
UTSA
26.3
UTSA win probability: 60%
Margin (UTSA − Florida Atlantic): 3.8 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 24 – UTSA 38 (margin error 10.2, total error 13.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.