2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 7:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field
Florida Atlantic @ Temple
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida Atlantic
26.8
Temple
25.7
Temple win probability: 47%
Margin (Temple − Florida Atlantic): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 15 – Temple 18 (margin error 4.1, total error 19.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.