2024 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2024, 1:00 AM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Florida Atlantic

24.7

East Carolina

31.4

East Carolina win probability: 66%

Margin (East Carolina − Florida Atlantic): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 14 – East Carolina 49 (margin error 28.3, total error 6.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.