2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 10:00 PM · FAU Stadium

Florida International @ Florida Atlantic

Predicted scoreLean

Florida International

21.8

Florida Atlantic

29.2

Florida Atlantic win probability: 68%

Margin (Florida Atlantic − Florida International): 7.3 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Florida International 20 – Florida Atlantic 38 (margin error 10.7, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.