2024 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2024, 11:30 PM · FAU Stadium
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Florida
26.8
Florida Atlantic
26.0
Florida Atlantic win probability: 48%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − South Florida): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: South Florida 44 – Florida Atlantic 21 (margin error 22.2, total error 12.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.